This file will simulate the chances of your party getting hit with a tier three knowledge bomb after a certain number of turns. You start at tier zero, and the chances of leveling up each round are as follows:
0 => 1: 255/256
1 => 2: 50%
2 => 3: 25%
Basically, the AI learns what monsters are immune to after you hit level 3 and they will stop casting spells that have no chance of working.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 0.99603 | 0 | 0.00059 |
2 | 0.99997 | 0.50068 | 0.00059 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.75064 | 0.12556 |
4 | 1 | 0.87464 | 0.28069 |
5 | 1 | 0.93743 | 0.43036 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.96906 | 0.55848 |
7 | 1 | 0.98457 | 0.66022 |
8 | 1 | 0.99224 | 0.74298 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99651 | 0.80539 |
10 | 1 | 0.9984 | 0.85318 |
11 | 1 | 0.9992 | 0.88964 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99954 | 0.91677 |
13 | 1 | 0.99974 | 0.93797 |
14 | 1 | 0.99985 | 0.9546 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99991 | 0.96632 |
16 | 1 | 0.99996 | 0.9748 |
17 | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.98124 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.9861 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.99016 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.9926 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99456 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99616 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99721 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99788 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99853 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99904 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99938 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99973 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.9999 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |
And again, with +1/256 to each chance.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00043 |
2 | 1 | 0.50353 | 0.00043 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.75468 | 0.12747 |
4 | 1 | 0.87892 | 0.28662 |
5 | 1 | 0.93994 | 0.43593 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.97041 | 0.56341 |
7 | 1 | 0.98511 | 0.66583 |
8 | 1 | 0.99233 | 0.74718 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99602 | 0.8096 |
10 | 1 | 0.99795 | 0.857 |
11 | 1 | 0.99893 | 0.8924 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99943 | 0.92034 |
13 | 1 | 0.99972 | 0.93975 |
14 | 1 | 0.9999 | 0.95512 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99993 | 0.96656 |
16 | 1 | 0.99995 | 0.97576 |
17 | 1 | 0.99996 | 0.98213 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.98703 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.99057 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99296 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99458 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99613 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.9971 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99808 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99861 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99902 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99948 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99969 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99987 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |