This file will simulate the chances of your party getting hit with a tier three knowledge bomb after a certain number of turns. You start at tier zero, and the chances of leveling up each round are as follows:
0 => 1: 255/256
1 => 2: 50%
2 => 3: 25%
Basically, the AI learns what monsters are immune to after you hit level 3 and they will stop casting spells that have no chance of working.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 0.996 | 0 | 0.00043 |
2 | 0.99999 | 0.50048 | 0.00043 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.75063 | 0.12544 |
4 | 1 | 0.87592 | 0.28147 |
5 | 1 | 0.93751 | 0.4298 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.9681 | 0.55603 |
7 | 1 | 0.98434 | 0.65922 |
8 | 1 | 0.99233 | 0.74037 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99621 | 0.80438 |
10 | 1 | 0.9983 | 0.85268 |
11 | 1 | 0.99911 | 0.88856 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99956 | 0.91763 |
13 | 1 | 0.99983 | 0.93801 |
14 | 1 | 0.99995 | 0.95275 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.96482 |
16 | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.97326 |
17 | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.98015 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.98507 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.98871 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99161 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99355 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99515 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99639 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99744 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99825 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99873 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99921 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.9996 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99981 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |
And again, with +1/256 to each chance.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00037 |
2 | 1 | 0.50619 | 0.00037 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.75443 | 0.12995 |
4 | 1 | 0.87798 | 0.28631 |
5 | 1 | 0.9391 | 0.4378 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.97021 | 0.56369 |
7 | 1 | 0.98541 | 0.66734 |
8 | 1 | 0.993 | 0.74908 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.9966 | 0.81119 |
10 | 1 | 0.99843 | 0.85736 |
11 | 1 | 0.99923 | 0.89385 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99957 | 0.92042 |
13 | 1 | 0.99976 | 0.94093 |
14 | 1 | 0.99991 | 0.95602 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99994 | 0.96723 |
16 | 1 | 0.99997 | 0.97552 |
17 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.98159 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.98615 |
19 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.9897 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99246 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99445 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99591 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99711 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.998 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.9985 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99899 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99934 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99962 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99978 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |