This file will simulate the chances of your party getting hit with a tier three knowledge bomb after a certain number of turns. You start at tier zero, and the chances of leveling up each round are as follows:
0 => 1: 255/256
1 => 2: 50%
2 => 3: 25%
Basically, the AI learns what monsters are immune to after you hit level 3 and they will stop casting spells that have no chance of working.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 0.99602 | 0 | 0.0005 |
2 | 0.99997 | 0.49796 | 0.0005 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.74933 | 0.1242 |
4 | 1 | 0.87481 | 0.2808 |
5 | 1 | 0.93832 | 0.42938 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.96943 | 0.55584 |
7 | 1 | 0.98484 | 0.65862 |
8 | 1 | 0.99267 | 0.74027 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.9965 | 0.80266 |
10 | 1 | 0.99822 | 0.85251 |
11 | 1 | 0.99904 | 0.88911 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99955 | 0.91657 |
13 | 1 | 0.99973 | 0.93774 |
14 | 1 | 0.99983 | 0.95296 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99991 | 0.96451 |
16 | 1 | 0.99995 | 0.97285 |
17 | 1 | 0.99996 | 0.9799 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.98522 |
19 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.98907 |
20 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.99173 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99413 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.9958 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99689 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99781 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99839 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99898 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99932 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.9996 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99984 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |
And again, with +1/256 to each chance.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00042 |
2 | 1 | 0.50458 | 0.00042 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.75421 | 0.12799 |
4 | 1 | 0.87751 | 0.28727 |
5 | 1 | 0.93887 | 0.44135 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.96972 | 0.56894 |
7 | 1 | 0.98488 | 0.67079 |
8 | 1 | 0.99251 | 0.75026 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99629 | 0.81136 |
10 | 1 | 0.99819 | 0.85819 |
11 | 1 | 0.99915 | 0.89516 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99959 | 0.92139 |
13 | 1 | 0.99977 | 0.94139 |
14 | 1 | 0.99988 | 0.95654 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99994 | 0.96745 |
16 | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.97562 |
17 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.98209 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.98704 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.99007 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99278 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99475 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99621 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99722 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99808 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99867 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99904 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99935 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99971 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99986 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |