This file will simulate the chances of your party getting hit with a tier three knowledge bomb after a certain number of turns. You start at tier zero, and the chances of leveling up each round are as follows:
0 => 1: 255/256
1 => 2: 50%
2 => 3: 25%
Basically, the AI learns what monsters are immune to after you hit level 3 and they will stop casting spells that have no chance of working.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 0.99576 | 0 | 0.00045 |
2 | 0.99999 | 0.49987 | 0.00045 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.75072 | 0.12614 |
4 | 1 | 0.87368 | 0.28303 |
5 | 1 | 0.93693 | 0.43211 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.9686 | 0.5584 |
7 | 1 | 0.98425 | 0.662 |
8 | 1 | 0.99261 | 0.74209 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99631 | 0.80578 |
10 | 1 | 0.9981 | 0.85373 |
11 | 1 | 0.99908 | 0.8909 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99957 | 0.91797 |
13 | 1 | 0.99979 | 0.9382 |
14 | 1 | 0.99993 | 0.95392 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99995 | 0.96518 |
16 | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.97396 |
17 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.98035 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.98541 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.98898 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99185 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99385 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.9955 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99674 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99744 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99826 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99889 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99939 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99971 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99987 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |
And again, with +1/256 to each chance.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00027 |
2 | 1 | 0.50414 | 0.00027 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.75597 | 0.12871 |
4 | 1 | 0.87972 | 0.28839 |
5 | 1 | 0.94123 | 0.43852 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.97074 | 0.56683 |
7 | 1 | 0.9853 | 0.67101 |
8 | 1 | 0.99273 | 0.74977 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99615 | 0.81241 |
10 | 1 | 0.99807 | 0.8598 |
11 | 1 | 0.99897 | 0.89446 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99946 | 0.92112 |
13 | 1 | 0.99979 | 0.94068 |
14 | 1 | 0.99992 | 0.95577 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.96694 |
16 | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.97518 |
17 | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.9817 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.98659 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.99021 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99279 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99484 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.9963 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99741 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99813 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99865 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99916 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99958 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99976 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99989 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |