This file will simulate the chances of your party getting hit with a tier three knowledge bomb after a certain number of turns. You start at tier zero, and the chances of leveling up each round are as follows:
0 => 1: 255/256
1 => 2: 50%
2 => 3: 25%
Basically, the AI learns what monsters are immune to after you hit level 3 and they will stop casting spells that have no chance of working.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 0.99608 | 0 | 0.00039 |
2 | 0.99997 | 0.49763 | 0.00039 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.74819 | 0.12465 |
4 | 1 | 0.87379 | 0.27982 |
5 | 1 | 0.93644 | 0.4267 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.96831 | 0.55337 |
7 | 1 | 0.98399 | 0.65781 |
8 | 1 | 0.99174 | 0.73826 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99593 | 0.80236 |
10 | 1 | 0.99796 | 0.85168 |
11 | 1 | 0.99902 | 0.88864 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99948 | 0.91615 |
13 | 1 | 0.99981 | 0.93789 |
14 | 1 | 0.99989 | 0.95339 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99997 | 0.96454 |
16 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.97363 |
17 | 1 | 1 | 0.98037 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.98542 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.98921 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99218 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99422 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99573 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99702 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99791 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99858 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99908 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99933 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99963 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99982 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |
And again, with +1/256 to each chance.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00045 |
2 | 1 | 0.50532 | 0.00045 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.75296 | 0.12879 |
4 | 1 | 0.87597 | 0.28803 |
5 | 1 | 0.93761 | 0.43736 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.96953 | 0.56281 |
7 | 1 | 0.98503 | 0.66607 |
8 | 1 | 0.99263 | 0.74724 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99669 | 0.8081 |
10 | 1 | 0.99831 | 0.85579 |
11 | 1 | 0.99932 | 0.89214 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99965 | 0.9191 |
13 | 1 | 0.99978 | 0.93946 |
14 | 1 | 0.99989 | 0.95508 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99991 | 0.96676 |
16 | 1 | 0.99992 | 0.97501 |
17 | 1 | 0.99996 | 0.98152 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 0.99997 | 0.98619 |
19 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.9897 |
20 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.99244 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99448 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.9959 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99696 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99767 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99839 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99899 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99942 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99964 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99983 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |