This file will simulate the chances of your party getting hit with a tier three knowledge bomb after a certain number of turns. You start at tier zero, and the chances of leveling up each round are as follows:
0 => 1: 255/256
1 => 2: 50%
2 => 3: 25%
Basically, the AI learns what monsters are immune to after you hit level 3 and they will stop casting spells that have no chance of working.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 0.99583 | 0 | 0.0005 |
2 | 0.99998 | 0.49664 | 0.0005 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.74786 | 0.12505 |
4 | 1 | 0.87482 | 0.28229 |
5 | 1 | 0.93772 | 0.43011 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.96859 | 0.55521 |
7 | 1 | 0.98403 | 0.65943 |
8 | 1 | 0.99235 | 0.74073 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99601 | 0.80413 |
10 | 1 | 0.99808 | 0.85287 |
11 | 1 | 0.99893 | 0.88925 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99951 | 0.91628 |
13 | 1 | 0.99977 | 0.93748 |
14 | 1 | 0.99986 | 0.95331 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99993 | 0.96535 |
16 | 1 | 0.99996 | 0.97467 |
17 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.98148 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.98608 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.98951 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99221 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99442 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99579 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99708 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99802 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.9987 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99912 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99949 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99971 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99984 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |
And again, with +1/256 to each chance.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00044 |
2 | 1 | 0.5046 | 0.00044 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.75537 | 0.12949 |
4 | 1 | 0.87803 | 0.28857 |
5 | 1 | 0.93957 | 0.43892 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.97005 | 0.56628 |
7 | 1 | 0.98523 | 0.66956 |
8 | 1 | 0.9922 | 0.75066 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99604 | 0.8123 |
10 | 1 | 0.99796 | 0.85878 |
11 | 1 | 0.99899 | 0.89477 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99941 | 0.9211 |
13 | 1 | 0.99969 | 0.94165 |
14 | 1 | 0.99985 | 0.95636 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99994 | 0.96733 |
16 | 1 | 0.99997 | 0.97601 |
17 | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.98222 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.98672 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.99042 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99295 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99469 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99613 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99727 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99803 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99867 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99923 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99947 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99969 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.9999 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |