This file will simulate the chances of your party getting hit with a tier three knowledge bomb after a certain number of turns. You start at tier zero, and the chances of leveling up each round are as follows:
0 => 1: 255/256
1 => 2: 50%
2 => 3: 25%
Basically, the AI learns what monsters are immune to after you hit level 3 and they will stop casting spells that have no chance of working.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 0.99611 | 0 | 0.0004 |
2 | 0.99999 | 0.49862 | 0.0004 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.74908 | 0.12446 |
4 | 1 | 0.87583 | 0.28066 |
5 | 1 | 0.93824 | 0.43016 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.96897 | 0.55654 |
7 | 1 | 0.98431 | 0.66052 |
8 | 1 | 0.99242 | 0.7405 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99654 | 0.80288 |
10 | 1 | 0.99839 | 0.84942 |
11 | 1 | 0.99923 | 0.88699 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99961 | 0.91556 |
13 | 1 | 0.99983 | 0.93687 |
14 | 1 | 0.9999 | 0.95286 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99995 | 0.96469 |
16 | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.97329 |
17 | 1 | 1 | 0.98014 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.98558 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.98903 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99162 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99365 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99553 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99689 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.9978 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99843 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99898 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99942 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99968 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99986 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |
And again, with +1/256 to each chance.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0005 |
2 | 1 | 0.50401 | 0.0005 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.75459 | 0.12906 |
4 | 1 | 0.87941 | 0.28684 |
5 | 1 | 0.94037 | 0.43687 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.97034 | 0.56647 |
7 | 1 | 0.98559 | 0.66717 |
8 | 1 | 0.99285 | 0.74697 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99625 | 0.80979 |
10 | 1 | 0.99789 | 0.8575 |
11 | 1 | 0.99893 | 0.89389 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99941 | 0.92115 |
13 | 1 | 0.99974 | 0.94111 |
14 | 1 | 0.99989 | 0.95621 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99994 | 0.96768 |
16 | 1 | 0.99996 | 0.97571 |
17 | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.98232 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.98669 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.99035 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99294 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99491 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99642 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99748 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99825 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.9988 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99924 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99957 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99975 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99987 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |