This file will simulate the chances of your party getting hit with a tier three knowledge bomb after a certain number of turns. You start at tier zero, and the chances of leveling up each round are as follows:
0 => 1: 255/256
1 => 2: 50%
2 => 3: 25%
Basically, the AI learns what monsters are immune to after you hit level 3 and they will stop casting spells that have no chance of working.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 0.9959 | 0 | 0.00054 |
2 | 1 | 0.49708 | 0.00054 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.74911 | 0.12572 |
4 | 1 | 0.87406 | 0.28105 |
5 | 1 | 0.93692 | 0.42973 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.96873 | 0.55721 |
7 | 1 | 0.98467 | 0.66 |
8 | 1 | 0.99219 | 0.74111 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99621 | 0.80487 |
10 | 1 | 0.9983 | 0.85134 |
11 | 1 | 0.99912 | 0.88867 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99956 | 0.91612 |
13 | 1 | 0.99979 | 0.93745 |
14 | 1 | 0.99992 | 0.95308 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99997 | 0.96435 |
16 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.97317 |
17 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.97992 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.98515 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.98922 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99208 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99428 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99587 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99701 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99778 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.9984 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99893 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99928 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99956 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99981 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |
And again, with +1/256 to each chance.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00041 |
2 | 1 | 0.50004 | 0.00041 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.75301 | 0.12704 |
4 | 1 | 0.87773 | 0.28585 |
5 | 1 | 0.93918 | 0.43757 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.96958 | 0.56427 |
7 | 1 | 0.98501 | 0.66748 |
8 | 1 | 0.99246 | 0.74862 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99639 | 0.81044 |
10 | 1 | 0.99831 | 0.85794 |
11 | 1 | 0.99907 | 0.89282 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99951 | 0.91975 |
13 | 1 | 0.99976 | 0.93989 |
14 | 1 | 0.99985 | 0.9555 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99992 | 0.96678 |
16 | 1 | 0.99996 | 0.97578 |
17 | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.98185 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.98648 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.99031 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99287 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99498 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99628 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99718 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99802 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99856 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99907 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99941 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.9997 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99986 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |